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The twenty imports Sweden is best placed to replace.

Sweden imported USD 140bn of manufactured goods in 2024 and exported USD 156bn. These are the twenty that sit closest to what it already makes well, with how concentrated the supply of each is.

USD 8.4bnthe twenty, imported in 2024
83products imported at scale, not yet exported well, and close to existing strengths
1202products Sweden already exports well
1,670public purchases of goods joined to a product family, from Tenders Electronic Daily (EU)
The twenty

Demand, capability, exposure. Nothing else is claimed.

Each line shows the import bill, where it comes from, the nearest thing Sweden already exports well, and how many countries make it. It does not say whether a plant in Sweden would pay. That reason is not in any trade record, and it is the maker's question.

This edition carries public buyers from Tenders Electronic Daily (EU), 9,287 award notices from 2025-11-03 to 2026-11-02, joined to each product's customs heading through a crosswalk we authored. The buyers are shown as context and do not change the score, because award values in these records include framework ceilings and outliers that would distort it. The regional layer (where the capability sits) is built only where a country publishes regional trade by product, and Sweden does not publish it in a form this record can read yet.

  1. 1

    Electric motors and generators: parts suitable for use solely or principally with the machines of heading no. 8501 or...HS 850300

    Comes fromGermany 70%, 57 source countries
    Nearest export strengthElectrical apparatus: parts (e.g. boards, panels, consoles, desks... (exports USD 43m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 121m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 558m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 35 per cent (1); Germany supplies 70 per cent (2).

    USD 558mup 149% on 2022
  2. 2

    Acyclic hydrocarbons: saturatedHS 290110

    Comes fromUnited States 97%, 12 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone named
    Exports of this lineUSD 3m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 148m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 6 of 8: import bill USD 360m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1); United States supplies 97 per cent (2).

    USD 360mup 11% on 2022
  3. 3

    Steel, alloy: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, n.e.c. in heading no. 7225, plated or coated with zinc (other than...HS 722592

    Comes fromGermany 42%, 15 source countries
    Nearest export strengthSteel, alloy: flat-rolled, width 600mm or more, hot-rolled, in coils (exports USD 156m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 10m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 46m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 355m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 37 per cent (1); Germany supplies 42 per cent (1).

    USD 355mdown 7% on 2022
  4. 4

    Vehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating piston engine, cylinder capacity over 3000ccHS 870324

    Comes fromGermany 59%, 30 source countries
    Nearest export strengthVehicles: with only spark-ignition internal combustion reciprocating... (exports USD 4.7bn)
    Exports of this lineUSD 161m; 6 more lines in the heading, USD 5.9bn
    Public buyers in the family134 awards from 87 buyers. Most frequent: Eksjö kommun

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 309m, top 4 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 40 per cent (1); Germany supplies 59 per cent (1).

    USD 309mdown 2% on 2022
  5. 5

    Waters: including mineral and aerated, containing added sugar or other sweetening matter or flavouredHS 220210

    Comes fromGermany 41%, 65 source countries
    Nearest export strengthFood preparations: sweet biscuits, whether or not containing cocoa (exports USD 113m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 69m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 303m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 47 per cent (1); Germany supplies 41 per cent (1).

    USD 303mup 24% on 2022
  6. 6

    Medicaments: containing hormones (but not insulin), adrenal cortex hormones or antibiotics, for therapeutic or...HS 300439

    Comes fromDenmark 58%, 29 source countries
    Nearest export strengthBlood, human or animal, antisera, other blood fractions and... (exports USD 2.8bn)
    Exports of this lineUSD 149m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 112m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 280m, top 5 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 46 per cent (1); Denmark supplies 58 per cent (1).

    USD 280mup 49% on 2022
  7. 7

    Pumps: reciprocating positive displacement pumps, n.e.c. in heading no. 8413, for liquidsHS 841350

    Comes fromGermany 52%, 62 source countries
    Nearest export strengthClutches and shaft couplings (including universal joints) (exports USD 67m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 74m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 352m
    Public buyers in the family13 awards from 10 buyers. Most frequent: VA Syd

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 228m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 49 per cent (1); Germany supplies 52 per cent (1).

    USD 228mup 17% on 2022
  8. 8

    Railway or tramway coaches, vans and trucks: self-propelled, powered from an external source of electricity (excluding...HS 860310

    Comes fromGermany 58%, 3 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone named
    Exports of this lineUSD 12m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 16m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 218m, top 7 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 40 per cent (1); Germany supplies 58 per cent (1).

    USD 218mup 12% on 2022
  9. 9

    Transmission shafts (including cam shafts and crank shafts) and cranksHS 848310

    Comes fromGermany 44%, 65 source countries
    Nearest export strengthAir conditioning machines: containing a motor driven fan, other than... (exports USD 155m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 81m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 283m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 195m, top 8 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1); Germany supplies 44 per cent (1).

    USD 195mup 16% on 2022
  10. 10

    Trailers and semi-trailers: (other than tanker type)HS 871639

    Comes fromFinland 41%, 29 source countries
    Nearest export strengthTrailers, semi-trailers and other vehicles not mechanically... (exports USD 142m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 49m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 62m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 168m, top 11 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 23 per cent (2); Finland supplies 41 per cent (1).

    USD 168mdown 21% on 2022
  11. 11

    Fertilizers, mineral or chemical: containing the three fertilizing elements nitrogen, phosphorus and potassiumHS 310520

    Comes fromFinland 67%, 22 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone named
    Exports of this lineUSD 4m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 14m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 122m, top 15 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1); Finland supplies 67 per cent (2).

    USD 122mdown 9% on 2022
  12. 12

    Regulating or controlling instruments and apparatus: automatic, hydraulic or pneumaticHS 903281

    Comes fromGermany 92%, 34 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone named
    Exports of this lineUSD 4m; 3 more lines in the heading, USD 93m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 5 of 8: import bill USD 85m, top 22 per cent of candidates (2); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 40 per cent (1); Germany supplies 92 per cent (2).

    USD 85mup 25% on 2022
  13. 13

    Electrical static convertersHS 850440

    Comes fromChina 31%, 81 source countries
    Nearest export strengthTelevision cameras, digital cameras and video camera recorders... (exports USD 6m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 669m; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 243m
    Public buyers in the family20 awards from 17 buyers. Most frequent: Ellevio AB

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 1.1bn, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 43 per cent (1).

    USD 1.1bnup 31% on 2022
  14. 14

    Boards, panels, consoles, desks and other bases: for electric control or the distribution of electricity, (other than...HS 853710

    Comes fromGermany 28%, 102 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone named
    Exports of this lineUSD 623m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 125m
    Public buyers in the family15 awards from 14 buyers. Most frequent: Öresundskraft Elnät AB

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 893m, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 28 per cent (1).

    USD 893mup 7% on 2022
  15. 15

    Iron or steel: structures and parts thereof, n.e.c. in heading 7308HS 730890

    Comes fromFinland 20%, 60 source countries
    Nearest export strengthIron or steel: articles n.e.c. in heading 7326 (exports USD 635m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 395m; 2 more lines in the heading, USD 93m
    Public buyers in the family26 awards from 23 buyers. Most frequent: Västra Götalandsregionen

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 658m, top 1 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 41 per cent (1).

    USD 658mdown 25% on 2022
  16. 16

    Medical, surgical or dental instruments and appliances: n.e.c. in heading no. 9018HS 901890

    Comes fromNetherlands 40%, 77 source countries
    Nearest export strengthAppliances: worn, carried or implanted in the body, to compensate... (exports USD 174m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 251m; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 162m
    Public buyers in the family285 awards from 48 buyers. Most frequent: Västra Götalandsregionen

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 545m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 37 per cent (1).

    USD 545mup 12% on 2022
  17. 17

    Pumps and compressors: for air, vacuum or gas, n.e.c. in heading no. 8414HS 841480

    Comes fromGermany 23%, 60 source countries
    Nearest export strengthElectrical insulators: other than of glass and ceramics (exports USD 19m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 65m; 5 more lines in the heading, USD 279m
    Public buyers in the family14 awards from 10 buyers. Most frequent: VA Syd

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 505m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 45 per cent (1).

    USD 505mup 30% on 2022
  18. 18

    Cosmetic and toilet preparations: n.e.c. in heading no. 3304, for the care of the skin (excluding medicaments...HS 330499

    Comes fromFrance 19%, 106 source countries
    Nearest export strengthPaints and varnishes: (based on polymers other than acrylic or... (exports USD 106m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 398m; 4 more lines in the heading, USD 155m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 500m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 42 per cent (1).

    USD 500mup 25% on 2022
  19. 19

    Taps, cocks, valves and similar appliances: for pipes, boiler shells, tanks, vats or the like, including...HS 848180

    Comes fromGermany 27%, 80 source countries
    Nearest export strengthMachinery, plant and laboratory equipment: parts of equipment for... (exports USD 292m)
    Exports of this lineUSD 365m; 1 more line in the heading, USD 26m
    Public buyers in the family1 award from 1 buyer. Most frequent: Vatten & Miljö i Väst AB

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 478m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 40 per cent (1).

    USD 478mdown 11% on 2022
  20. 20

    Biodiesel and mixtures thereof: not containing or containing less than 70% by weight of petroleum oils or oils...HS 382600

    Comes fromNetherlands 28%, 15 source countries
    Nearest export strengthnone named
    Exports of this lineUSD 45m
    Public buyers in the familynone matched to this product family

    Score 4 of 8: import bill USD 463m, top 2 per cent of candidates (3); proximity to Sweden's export strengths in the top 39 per cent (1).

    USD 463mdown 54% on 2022

The bill and its path, the sources and their unit values, who exports the line well, the nearest strengths, the public buyers where a country publishes them, and the method. We reply by email. Privacy

One line per customs heading. Products Sweden already exports well and still imports are below, because they are a different conversation. No employment figures appear on this page, by decision.

Made here already, still imported

Scale conversations, not capability ones.

  • Vehicle parts and accessories: n.e.c. in heading no. 8708 imports USD 2.0bn, exports USD 1.3bn, top source Czech Republic 15%
  • Toxins, cultures of micro-organisms (excluding yeasts) and similar products imports USD 433m, exports USD 39m, top source United States 99%
  • Engines: parts for internal combustion piston engines (excluding spark-ignition) imports USD 910m, exports USD 637m, top source Germany 24%
  • Sugar confectionery: (excluding chewing gum, including white chocolate), not... imports USD 389m, exports USD 195m, top source Denmark 28%
  • Engines: parts, for engines and motors of heading no. 8412 imports USD 300m, exports USD 119m, top source Spain 34%
  • Headphones and earphones, whether or not combined with a microphone, and sets... imports USD 412m, exports USD 238m, top source Netherlands 57%
  • Vacuum cleaners, with self-contained electric motor, of a power not exceeding... imports USD 304m, exports USD 138m, top source China 48%
  • Vehicles: with both compression-ignition internal combustion piston engine... imports USD 168m, exports USD 29m, top source Germany 97%
  • Gears and gearing: (not toothed wheels, chain sprockets and other transmission... imports USD 319m, exports USD 186m, top source Germany 25%
  • Undenatured ethyl alcohol: of an alcoholic strength by volume of 80% vol. or... imports USD 287m, exports USD 163m, top source Netherlands 49%
How the twenty were chosen

Three scores, each from a field the record carries.

Import bill, 0 to 3, by percentile among the 1538 lines imported at USD 10m or more: above the median one point, top quarter two, top tenth three.

Proximity to export strengths, 0 to 3, on the same percentiles: the product-space method (Hidalgo, Klinger, Barabasi and Hausmann, Science 2007) on CEPII's BACI file of every bilateral trade flow for 2024, 157 countries and 5,388 products. Two products are close when the countries that export one well tend to export the other well. Only products in the upper half for proximity can enter the list at all: best placed is a proximity claim.

Supply concentration, 0 to 2: one point when a single country supplies 40 per cent or more, two at 60 per cent.

Public buyers, context only, never scored: 9,287 award notices from Tenders Electronic Daily (EU), 2025-11-03 to 2026-11-02, of which 2,798 were classified by the buyer as goods and 1,670 joined to a product family through a crosswalk we authored, because no official one exists. Only notices whose code names a specific product group are joined; broad division codes are left out. The join is a family, not an exact line, and the counts are a floor.

Scope. Manufactured goods, customs chapters 16 to 96, excluding ores, fuels and precious metals. Primary agriculture is out of scope for a page about manufacture.

What it cannot tell you

A map of where to look.

Trade data says what crossed the border, not why. Cost, scale, patents, tariffs and the plain fact that a supplier is good at it are all invisible here. The world file reconciles what each pair of countries reports, so a national customs file would differ in detail. Nothing on this page is a forecast or a promise.

Source: CEPII BACI, HS22, version 202601, years 2022 to 2024. Edition of 2026-11-03. The UK edition with its procurement and regional layers is at /made-here/.

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